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	<title>A Cunning Punt &#187; Horseracing tips</title>
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	<link>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk</link>
	<description>Football betting, horseracing and intelligent betting culture</description>
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		<title>New odds comparison site worth a look</title>
		<link>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/05/new-odds-comparison-site-worth-a-look/</link>
		<comments>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/05/new-odds-comparison-site-worth-a-look/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 May 2010 08:14:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Bernie</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Horseracing tips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Best odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Compare betting odds]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Odds comparison site]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/?p=483</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Comparing the odds is an essential part of the cunning punt  ethos – and a new odds comparison site can help you find the best odds.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Comparing the odds is an essential part of the cunning punt  ethos – and a new <a href="http://betlight.co.uk/" target="_blank">odds  comparison site</a> can help you find the best odds when betting on a range of  sports.</p>
<p>Betlight (<a href="http://betlight.co.uk/" target="_blank">http://betlight.co.uk</a>)  is an odds comparison site with the added bonus of betting previews and useful  betting tips. It’s a lot cleaner looking and easier to navigate than  oddschecker, and has quick links to all the major bookies.</p>
<p>Worth a look, especially as the flat racing season gets up  to speed – the site seems to be particularly strong on ante-post <a href="http://betlight.co.uk/racing/" target="_blank">horse racing odds</a>.</p>
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		<title>Chabal can cut it in the Dante</title>
		<link>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/05/chabal-can-cut-it-in-the-dante/</link>
		<comments>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/05/chabal-can-cut-it-in-the-dante/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 May 2010 08:06:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Horseracing tips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dante Stakes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Frankie Dettori]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Godolphin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Hill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[York]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/?p=480</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Dante Stakes is the highlight of York’s spring meeting –  and our forecast tip could leave you quids in if you back Frankie Dettori and our betting tip for second.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Chabal</strong> is yet another Galileo colt who can take the Dante  Stakes on his way to running in the Derby – although odds of 9/4 won’t excite people who like betting tips with bigger odds.</p>
<p>My tip for today is a straight forecast bet, with the  Godolphin horse coming first and Michael Bell’s Coordinated Cut in second.</p>
<p>Best odds of 9/2 on Coordinated Cut would see a forecast  dividend of around 9/1 on the 1-2 – a nice price for a fairly solid bet in my  eyes.</p>
<p>Why am I discounting the two horses between Chabal and Coordinated  Cut in the betting?</p>
<p>The first, Workforce, has been talked about endlessly as a  class prospect but for me that’s all he is. One maiden win does not a Derby  winner make, and I think it’s too risky to just go on that race and the horse’s  admittedly exemplary pedigree when betting on the race.</p>
<p>The second, Cape Blanco, would probably have featured more  in my reckoning a year ago. Two years ago I probably would have been all over  him. But the O’Brien stable couldn’t win a raffle at the moment; this is the  colt’s seasonal reappearance and again, I think he’s best watched in this race.</p>
<p>It’s far from nailed on – this is a top-quality renewal of  the Dante Stakes, and I wouldn’t be surprised if the Derby winner was on show  today – but the Chabal-Coordinated Cut forecast looks too good value to turn  down.</p>
<p>Forecast winnings will be the same at all bookies so no need  to shop around – my advice here is to <a href="http://serve.williamhill.com/promoRedirect?member=mattbennett15&#038;campaign=DEFAULT&#038;channel=DEFAULT&#038;zone=908371216&#038;lp=908300452&#038;var3=en/nui/free-bet/%23http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/EN/betting/y/9/Horse-Racing.html" target="_blank">open a William Hill account</a> and take  advantage of the excellent <a href="http://serve.williamhill.com/promoRedirect?member=mattbennett15&#038;campaign=DEFAULT&#038;channel=DEFAULT&#038;zone=908371216&#038;lp=908300452&#038;var3=en/nui/free-bet/%23http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/EN/betting/y/9/Horse-Racing.html" target="_blank">William Hill Radio</a> service to keep abreast of the  latest news from the Knavesmire.</p>
<p><strong>Dante Stakes betting tip</strong></p>
<ul>
<li>Chabal/Coordinated Cut straight forecast in the Dante Stakes  (2.40 at York)</li>
</ul>
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		<title>Chester Vase tip for a weak Derby trial</title>
		<link>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/05/chester-vase-tip-for-a-weak-derby-trial/</link>
		<comments>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/05/chester-vase-tip-for-a-weak-derby-trial/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 May 2010 10:35:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Angus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Horseracing tips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barry Hills]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chester]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chester Vase]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Critical Moment]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/?p=476</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The 2010 Chester Vase doesn’t look a great race, but may give some clues to the Epsom Derby. And we’ve still got a decent betting tip.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>As usual these days, the Chester Vase doesn’t look the strongest Derby trial in the world, but it could still offer up some clues as to how the Epsom race will play out next month.</strong></p>
<p>Barry Hills’ <strong>Critical Moment</strong> looks the pick on the form book, with a third in the Craven Stakes under his belt so far this season. The winner of that race, Elusive Pimpernel, didn’t disgrace himself in the 2,000 Guineas last weekend and that makes the Hills colt a solid chance. <strong>Snap up the 11/4 on offer at <a href="http://www.bet365.com/home/?affiliate=365_034262" target="blank">Bet365</a>, <a href="http://ff.connextra.com/SkyBet/selector/click?client=SkyBet&amp;placement=Hub_Bet_Football_textlink_1x1&amp;aff=9011874&amp;ASSET_ID=73" target="_blank">Sky Bet</a>, <a href="http://ads.bluesq.com/redirect.aspx?pid=5959&amp;bid=1295" target="_blank">Blue Square</a> and <a href="http://clkuk.tradedoubler.com/click?p=992&amp;a=1564122&amp;g=993904" target="_blank">Coral</a>.</strong></p>
<p>The O’Brien yard sends out Rocket Man, sure to be well backed, but it’s unlikely this is Ballydoyle’s strongest hope for the Derby and is probably best watched. His performance compared to the rest of the field may offer some clues about the Derby when the five-day decs come out and we have a real idea of O’Brien’s intentions.</p>
<p>Peter Chapple-Hyam’s Morana is another interesting runner, but I’m tentatively backing Critical Moment to win the Chester Vase.<strong></strong></p>
<p><strong>Selection</strong></p>
<ul>
<li> 2 points win Critical Moment (11/4, <a href="http://www.bet365.com/home/?affiliate=365_034262" target="blank">Bet365</a>, <a href="http://ff.connextra.com/SkyBet/selector/click?client=SkyBet&amp;placement=Hub_Bet_Football_textlink_1x1&amp;aff=9011874&amp;ASSET_ID=73" target="_blank">Sky Bet</a>, <a href="http://ads.bluesq.com/redirect.aspx?pid=5959&amp;bid=1295" target="_blank">Blue Square</a> and <a href="http://clkuk.tradedoubler.com/click?p=992&amp;a=1564122&amp;g=993904" target="_blank">Coral</a>) to win the Chester Vase</li>
</ul>
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		<title>Get a gift in the Chester Cup</title>
		<link>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/05/get-a-gift-in-the-chester-cup/</link>
		<comments>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/05/get-a-gift-in-the-chester-cup/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 05 May 2010 10:16:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Angus</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Horseracing tips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chester]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chester Cup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Red Cadeaux]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/?p=472</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[We’ve got a good-priced betting tip in today’s Chester Cup – one of the great handicaps of the Spring racing calendar.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>We’ve got a good-odds tip in today’s Chester Cup – a race that’s always one of the great handicaps of the Spring racing calendar.<br />
</strong><br />
Nicely sandwiched between the Guineas – which we wisely declined to tip up on – and York’s Dante meeting, the Chester Cup always means Spring is well and truly sprung.</p>
<p>So we’re not going to look a gift horse in the mouth and plump for current joint favourite <strong>Red Cadeaux</strong> in the 2.45 at Chester, based on the winning trends over the last decade.</p>
<p>Four-year-olds like Red Cadeaux haven’t enjoyed a lot of success but last year’s winner was exactly that age. Irish horses have done naff all, so they’re ignored totally (for once). But the draw could be key here, with Red Cadeaux getting a good low draw, and his early season win also bodes well.</p>
<p>The form of that race worked out well over the weekend, another plus in Red Cadeaux’s favour. And he’s not too badly handicapped following it, so our Chester Cup betting tip has to be Red Cadeaux.</p>
<p>Northumberland Plate winner Som Tala would make more appeal if his price was bigger, but 12/1 just doesn’t look value compared to the 9/1 offered on Red Cadeaux at <a href="http://www.bet365.com/home/?affiliate=365_034262" target="blank">Bet365</a>, <a href='http://ff.connextra.com/SkyBet/selector/click?client=SkyBet&#038;placement=Hub_Bet_Football_textlink_1x1&#038;aff=9011874&#038;ASSET_ID=73' target='_blank'>Sky Bet</a>, <a href="http://ads.bluesq.com/redirect.aspx?pid=5959&#038;bid=1295" target="_blank">Blue Square</a>, <A HREF='http://www.ladbrokes.com/ast?action=go_asset&#038;new=1&#038;aff_id=35566&#038;asset_id=5146' TARGET='_new'>Ladbrokes</A> and <a href="http://serve.williamhill.com/promoRedirect?member=mattbennett15&#038;campaign=DEFAULT&#038;channel=DEFAULT&#038;zone=66906318&#038;lp=13510190">William Hill</a>.</p>
<p><strong>Chester Cup betting tip</strong></p>
<ul>
<li> 2 points each-way <strong>Red Cadeaux</strong> (9/1, <a href="http://www.bet365.com/home/?affiliate=365_034262" target="blank">Bet365</a>, <a href='http://ff.connextra.com/SkyBet/selector/click?client=SkyBet&#038;placement=Hub_Bet_Football_textlink_1x1&#038;aff=9011874&#038;ASSET_ID=73' target='_blank'>Sky Bet</a>, <a href="http://ads.bluesq.com/redirect.aspx?pid=5959&#038;bid=1295" target="_blank">Blue Square</a>, <A HREF='http://www.ladbrokes.com/ast?action=go_asset&#038;new=1&#038;aff_id=35566&#038;asset_id=5146' TARGET='_new'>Ladbrokes</A> and <a href="http://serve.williamhill.com/promoRedirect?member=mattbennett15&#038;campaign=DEFAULT&#038;channel=DEFAULT&#038;zone=66906318&#038;lp=13510190">William Hill</a>) to win the Chester Cup</li>
</ul>
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		<title>Who’s going to win the 2010 Grand National?</title>
		<link>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/04/whos-going-to-win-the-2010-grand-national/</link>
		<comments>http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/04/whos-going-to-win-the-2010-grand-national/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Apr 2010 20:19:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Matt</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Horseracing tips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bet365]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Coral]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Grand National]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SkyBet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[William Hill]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/?p=453</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Grand National is the nation’s favourite race – the one everyone wants a betting tip for. Here’s the opinion of our three betting experts.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Grand National is the nation’s favourite horse race – it’s the one everyone wants a betting tip for. So here are our three betting experts’ tips for this year’s big race.</p>
<p><strong>Matt’s Grand National tips</strong><br />
I think we’re all agreed that there’s no value in betting on the favourite in the Grand National, so I’m ruling out Big Fella Thanks straight off. And, following the rules laid down in our <a href="http://www.a-cunning-punt.co.uk/2010/04/top-five-grand-national-betting-tips/" target="_blank">five top Grand National betting tips</a>, none of the rest of the favourites really appeal to me either – they’re either carrying too much weight or are just too young.</p>
<p>I really fancy Snowy Morning though, and at 16/1 with <a href="http://ff.connextra.com/SkyBet/selector/click?client=SkyBet&#038;placement=Hub_Bet_Football_textlink_1x1&#038;aff=9011874&#038;ASSET_ID=73" target="_blank">Skybet</a> he’s about the right price for a Grand National winner.</p>
<p>Character Building would be a decent alternative and has a great jockey on board in Nina Carberry. My fear there is that the fuss around her being a woman will provoke a lot of emotional betting that will steal the value. If you can get the 20/1 that’s still on offer at <a href="http://clkuk.tradedoubler.com/click?p=992&#038;a=1564122&#038;g=993904" target="_blank">Coral</a> I’d take it and be happy.</p>
<p><strong>Bernie’s Grand National tips</strong><br />
Following our five top rules I agree about Snowy Morning but would prefer something at a bigger price, and Hello Bud fits the bill for me. He’s 50/1 at <a href="http://serve.williamhill.com/promoRedirect?member=mattbennett15&#038;campaign=DEFAULT&#038;channel=DEFAULT&#038;zone=908371216&#038;lp=908300452&#038;var3=en/nui/free-bet/%23http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/EN/betting/y/9/Horse-Racing.html" target="_blank">William Hill</a> – they’re only paying four places but I’d rather take 50s than 40s elsewhere and get paid if he finishes fifth. After all, why bet if you don’t think the horse has a chance of winning?</p>
<p>It’s like when people didn’t pay betting tax back in the 1990s – if you thought the horse was going to win the race, why would you gamble on having to pay a much bigger tax later?</p>
<p><strong>Angus’s Grand National tips</strong><br />
I really don’t want to have to offer a Grand National betting tip because ultimately the race is such a lottery. Any other race I’d probably back Big Fella Thanks, who has the winning combination of Paul Nicholls and Ruby Walsh behind him. But 8/1 in a 40-horse handicap isn’t my idea of value.</p>
<p>The trends throw up some interesting horses, and Snowy Morning is probably my pick of the rest. But trends don’t tell the whole story, and I think it’ll be interesting to see how the French-bred horses perform.</p>
<p>We ignore them because of their bad record over time – but for most of the Grand National’s history, French horses just haven’t entered the race, so it’s unfair to judge them.</p>
<p>Compare that with last year. Aside from the winner, French horses filled three of the next six places. Another performance like that and our five top trends list will look very different in the 2011 National.</p>
<p>If you want my betting tip it’s to follow the trends we’ve laid down this year, though, and go for a few horses from the big-price category. If it’s a lottery, you may as well put the odds in your favour!</p>
<p>With this in mind I’ve picked out Ellerslie Gorge (100/1 with <a href="http://www.bet365.com?affiliate=365_034262" target="_blank">Bet365</a>, <a href="http://clkuk.tradedoubler.com/click?p=992&#038;a=1564122&#038;g=993904" target="_blank">Coral</a> and <a href="http://serve.williamhill.com/promoRedirect?member=mattbennett15&#038;campaign=DEFAULT&#038;channel=DEFAULT&#038;zone=908371216&#038;lp=908300452&#038;var3=en/nui/free-bet/%23http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/EN/betting/y/9/Horse-Racing.html" target="_blank">William Hill</a>) and Mr Pointment (125/1 with <a href="http://clkuk.tradedoubler.com/click?p=992&#038;a=1564122&#038;g=993904" target="_blank">Coral</a>). The latter is a quality horse, so at those odds I’m guessing there’s a strong chance he won’t run. But as all the main bookies are non-runner money back, I’ll re-invest my stake if that’s the case.</p>
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