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Each-way value betting tip in the QE2

By Matt | September 22, 2009

If you want a betting tip for Saturday’s Queen Elizabeth II Stakes at Ascot then I’d say forget the scrap between Ballydoyle’s Rip Van Winkle and Godolphin’s Delegator at the top of the betting market.

The winner may well come from that pair, but at odds-on for Rip and something similarly short and silly for Delegator, there’s no value in either.

Where the cunning punter could strike is further down the odds, where Sir Michael Stoute and champion jockey Ryan Moore team up onboard Zacinto – currently 16/1 at Coral.

While the Stewards Cup (won by Rip Van Winkle) and the Celebration Mile (won by Delegator with Zacinto second), both at Goodwood, have a good record of providing the winners of this race, it’s frequently won by a horse that’s raced within the last 35 days. Rip hasn’t run since the Stewards Cup on 29th July.

As a racehorse, it’s a bit like an Alfa Romeo: looks good, has plenty of speed, but with all the reliability of a “F**ked In A Tick” Fiat. It’s let punters down repeatedly before the Goodwood race, and I don’t trust it not to do so again now, especially given Aidan O’Brien’s relatively poor performance in the race over the years.

Delegator has beaten it twice, including in this year’s 2,000 Guineas, but is marginally more exposed and the gamble on Rip is that he’s open to further improvement. That may well be the case, but I’ll pass on this occasion.

If we’re talking about unexposed progressive types then Zacinto could fit the bill perfectly. By the time of the QE2 its last race will have been 32 days ago. And if it was your horse you couldn’t ask for a better trainer/jockey combination than Sir Michael Stoute and Ryan Moore to get the best out of it this time.

I’m discounting the rest of the field on the grounds that the horses are either four years old (three-year-olds have a great record in the race), fillies (who have a terrible record) or, in the case of Set Sail, a pacemaker.

Third – behind the Godolphin/Ballyboyle pair – is well within Zacinto’s grasp, on the other hand, and, on the day, he could do better. Which makes two points each-way at Corals’ 16/1 look a great bet – especially as new customers get a £10 free bet and there’s 10% cashback for all customers. Bet now.

Queen Elizabeth II Stakes betting tip
2 points each way Zacinto (16/1, Coral) to win the QE2 Stakes at Ascot

Topics: Horseracing tips 2 Comments »

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2 Responses to “Each-way value betting tip in the QE2”

  1. Bernie Says:
    September 24th, 2009 at 12:20 pm

    Now the 48-hour declarations have been made the surprising news is that Mastercraftsman, who was expected to miss this race, will line up with stablemate Rip Van Winkle. Having already beaten Delegator in the St James’s Palace Stakes it’s surprising that O’Brien’s second-string is such big odds – you can get 7/1 at Bet365 and that looks worth a speculative point to win. Get on now!

  2. Alfie B Says:
    September 24th, 2009 at 3:34 pm

    Sportinglife report Mastercraftsman will only run if Rip Van Winkle doesnt: http://www.sportinglife.com/story_get.cgi?STORY_NAME=racing/09/09/24/RACING_QEII.html

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