« Netherland must be favourite for Bookie Prize | Home | Football betting tip for Saturday 13 September »
Conduit the tip for each-way glory
By Matt | September 12, 2008
CONDUIT can make a profit for each-way punters with a place in Saturday’s Ladbrokes St Leger at Doncaster tomorrow – and could even land a fifth win in the race for jockey Frankie Dettori.
Sir Michael Stoute’s colt is 8/1 at the Tote, Sportingbet and Paddy Power behind favourite Frozen Fire at odds of 9/4, Look Here at 4/1 and another Stoute colt Doctor Fremantle at best odds of 7/1.
Frozen Fire is rightly the favourite, given Aiden O’Brien’s form in the Group 1 races this flat racing season, but makes no appeal at those odds.
Ryan Moore, Stoute’s stable jockey, has chosen to ride Doctor Fremantle ahead of Conduit on the basis of weather forecasts that predict rain over Doncaster’s Town Moor track before the big race.
Personally I think he might have made the wrong choice. Conduit has improved all season and has wins at Ascot and Epsom behind him. Frankie Dettori is a more than able replacement for Moore and, while Doctor Fremantle cannot be ruled out, Conduit has as good a chance of landing Dettori’s fifth St Leger win.
Neither am I sure that the predictions of rain will bear fruit – and why Moore thinks Doctor Fremantle, which was Stoute’s second-string runner until the jockey made his choice, is more of a mudlark than Conduit isn’t really borne out by the formbook either.
So, while I won’t be surprised if Johnny Murtagh lands the St Leger, for me the better value each-way bet is Frankie and Sir Michael Stoute’s Conduit.
Selection
- 3 points each-way Conduit (8/1, general) to win the St Leger
Topics: Horseracing tips 1 Comment »
Read more on this subject in related books at Amazon.com
- Double-your-money Delegator a great tip for Celebration Mile
- Ascot betting tips for 25th July
- St Leger betting tip good value at 7/1
- Royal Ascot betting tips for Wednesday
- Each-way value betting tip in the QE2
September 7th, 2009 at 8:25 pm
[...] Italian won last year on board Conduit – as tipped here at A Cunning Punt – and Kite Wood looks like a stayer. But I’m not convinced he’ll have the pace to beat one or [...]