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Will it be Duke of York in the International?

By Matt | August 18, 2008

DUKE OF MARMALADE could bid for his fifth Group One win of the 2008/09 season in tomorrow’s Juddmonte International, the big race of the first day of the Ebor Festival at York.

The Duke leads the betting in Tuesday’s big race at best odds of 5/4 – almost unbelievable given that Aiden O’Brien’s wonder horse was odds-on this time last week.

Heavy rainfall on the Knavesmire has brought doubt on whether Duke of Marmalade will even run in the International – the richest race ever to be run at York Racecourse – and has brought punters out in their droves to oppose the King George winner.

New Approach has been backed into 13/8 second favouritism as punters search for mudlarks to take on Duke of Marmalade. Jim Bolger’s Derby winner was available at odds of 6/1 last week.

And with the weather showing little sign of change, New Approach looks a worthy bet if you can get the best value.

Three-year-olds have had little success over recent years, although last year’s winner Authorized came from the classic generation.

New Approach had some worthy performances as a two-year-old on soft ground, and the noises coming out of Jim Bolger’s camp are far happier than those from Ballydoyle.

Four points on New Approach can be turned into ten-and-a-half with a bet on New Approach at one of the many bookies offering 13/8 on the Derby winner.

I never thought I’d say this during this season but now is the time to bet against the Duke of Marmalade.

Selection